Stock Markets Analysis & Opinion

Why Wells Fargo’s 58%+ Rise Was Predictable and How to Profit Next Time

  • Wells Fargo shares have enjoyed a powerful uptrend since October 2023.
  • Financial models predicted the stock would rise by over 60%.
  • So, how can you spot the next financial stocks to post double-digit gains?
  • Subscribe to InvestingPro to find out, thanks to a range of super-powerful stock market tools!
  • Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:WFC) has been on a tear since October 2023. The stock surged over 58%, from a low of $38.5 to a 2018 high of $62.55 on May 15, 2024.

    However, after reaching that peak, it has pulled back slightly, closing at $59.48 on Tuesday. Despite the recent dip, Wells Fargo still holds a solid gain of nearly 20% year-to-date.

    This impressive rally comes after a period of extended consolidation that began in June 2022. During that time, many analysts argued that the stock was trading significantly below its true value.

    The rise in Wells Fargo shares was predictable

    However, analysts weren’t the only ones to see an opportunity in Wells Fargo shares at the time, as valuation models also pointed out that the stock appeared undervalued based on the fundamentals.

    For instance, InvestingPro Fair Value, which combines multiple financial models to predict target prices, estimated Wells Fargo’s fair value at $63.98 on March 19, 2023, when the stock was only $37.76. This represented a potential upside of nearly 70%.

    However, the rise in the share price began shortly afterward, continuing up to the 6-year peak mentioned above, before the recent weakness that saw the stock lose the $60 threshold.

    In other words, InvestingPro subscribers had been warned of Wells Fargo’s bullish potential, not based on a hunch, but based on concrete financial data.

    The InvestingPro Fair Value of Wells Fargo shares is now $65.51, corresponding to a modest upside potential of just over 10%, probably not enough to justify a buy.

    Source: InvestingPro

    Analysts are slightly less optimistic, with an average target of $63.35 translating into a potential upside of +6.5%.

    However, there are many other financial stocks currently showing solid upward potential.

    What are the best financial stocks to buy according to InvestingPro Fair Value?

    More precisely, InvestingPro+’s advanced screener has enabled us to identify 21 stocks that meet the following criteria:

    • U.S. listing.
    • Fair Value upside potential greater than +30%.
    • Financial sector.
    • Capitalization over $1 billion.
    • Overall financial health rating of «good» or better.

    Source: InvestingPro

    InvestingPro+ subscribers who wish to consult this list can reproduce the following filters on the advanced screener in their member area:

    Source: InvestingPro

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    Disclaimer:This article is written for informational purposes only; it does not constitute a solicitation, offer, advice, counsel or recommendation to invest as such it is not intended to incentivize the purchase of assets in any way. I would like to remind you that any type of asset, is evaluated from multiple perspectives and is highly risky and therefore, any investment decision and the associated risk remains with the investor.


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